Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000155 0.000172 0.000190 0.000210 0.000234 0.000259 0.000289
2025-04-13 0.000116 0.000139 0.000165 0.000197 0.000237 0.000285 0.000347
2025-04-20 0.000099 0.000124 0.000155 0.000197 0.000253 0.000323 0.000422
2025-04-27 0.000088 0.000115 0.000151 0.000201 0.000271 0.000366 0.000508
2025-05-04 0.000078 0.000106 0.000144 0.000200 0.000282 0.000399 0.000583
2025-05-11 0.000071 0.000100 0.000140 0.000202 0.000296 0.000437 0.000670
2025-05-18 0.000065 0.000093 0.000135 0.000201 0.000305 0.000467 0.000749
2025-05-25 0.000059 0.000088 0.000130 0.000199 0.000312 0.000496 0.000829
2025-06-01 0.000054 0.000082 0.000125 0.000196 0.000318 0.000521 0.000906
2025-06-08 0.000049 0.000076 0.000118 0.000190 0.000315 0.000533 0.000960
2025-06-15 0.000047 0.000073 0.000116 0.000192 0.000328 0.000573 0.001072
2025-06-22 0.000045 0.000072 0.000116 0.000196 0.000345 0.000622 0.001208
2025-06-29 0.000041 0.000067 0.000110 0.000191 0.000344 0.000639 0.001288
2025-07-06 0.000037 0.000061 0.000102 0.000181 0.000335 0.000638 0.001331
2025-07-13 0.000035 0.000058 0.000100 0.000181 0.000345 0.000679 0.001471
2025-07-20 0.000033 0.000057 0.000100 0.000185 0.000362 0.000735 0.001661
2025-07-27 0.000031 0.000055 0.000097 0.000184 0.000369 0.000773 0.001812
2025-08-03 0.000030 0.000053 0.000096 0.000186 0.000382 0.000825 0.002009
2025-08-10 0.000028 0.000051 0.000093 0.000184 0.000389 0.000862 0.002176
2025-08-17 0.000027 0.000049 0.000091 0.000183 0.000394 0.000899 0.002349
2025-08-24 0.000025 0.000046 0.000088 0.000181 0.000398 0.000929 0.002511
2025-08-31 0.000023 0.000044 0.000084 0.000174 0.000391 0.000935 0.002603
2025-09-07 0.000022 0.000043 0.000083 0.000177 0.000405 0.000996 0.002875